Celta vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
81.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.6%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
SEV
4 - 1
CEL
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 1
GRA
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GET
3 - 1
CEL
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 1
VCF
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
OSA
1 - 0
CEL
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
MUD
1 - 2
RMA
34%
23%
43%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
RMA
2 - 1
FCB
54%
20%
26%
|
96 | 97 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
FCB
1 - 3
RMA
58%
20%
22%
|
96 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 2
RMA
7%
15%
78%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RMA
2 - 0
RAY
92%
6%
2%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |