Celta vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 2
RAY
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ATH
3 - 1
CEL
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
FCB
10%
17%
73%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
LEG
0 - 0
CEL
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 1
CEL
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 1
LUG
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
CDT
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 0
LUG
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
DEP
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 0
LUG
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |