Copa del Rey Last 16

Global 1-3

Celta vs Barcelona analysis

Celta Barcelona
76 ELO 86
0.4% Tilt -20.4%
59º General ELO ranking
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.7%
Celta
26.1%
Draw
31.1%
Barcelona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
Celta
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.2%
Win probability
Barcelona
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Celta
Barcelona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 1970
CEL
Celta
1 - 1
Bilbao Ath.
ATH
79%
13%
8%
76 59 17 0
10 May. 1970
CEL
Celta
1 - 1
Bilbao Ath.
ATH
80%
12%
8%
76 59 17 0
03 May. 1970
ATH
Bilbao Ath.
1 - 1
Celta
CEL
41%
25%
35%
76 58 18 0
19 Apr. 1970
ATH
Athletic
1 - 0
Celta
CEL
74%
17%
9%
76 85 9 0
12 Apr. 1970
CEL
Celta
1 - 0
Pontevedra
PON
65%
22%
14%
76 73 3 0

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 1970
FCB
Barcelona
3 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
80%
13%
7%
86 78 8 0
03 May. 1970
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
46%
25%
28%
87 77 10 -1
19 Apr. 1970
ELC
Elche
1 - 0
Barcelona
FCB
33%
30%
37%
87 79 8 0
12 Apr. 1970
FCB
Barcelona
0 - 0
UD Las Palmas
UDL
77%
15%
8%
87 80 7 0
05 Apr. 1970
FCB
Barcelona
4 - 2
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
71%
18%
10%
87 83 4 0