Celta Fortuna vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
RUN
1 - 0
CEL
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
CEL
0 - 0
GIM
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
CEL
1 - 2
COR
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ALC
3 - 2
CEL
48%
28%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
CEL
5 - 2
AVI
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ALF
4 - 1
ALA
26%
27%
48%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 1
ALF
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
ALF
5 - 2
RIV
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 3
ALF
42%
25%
34%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ALF
0 - 2
CHA
73%
18%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |