Celta Fortuna vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LOG
1 - 1
CEL
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CEL
1 - 0
ALF
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
RUN
1 - 0
CEL
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
CEL
0 - 0
GIM
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
CEL
1 - 2
COR
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
3 - 0
ALA
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 0
CER
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
AVI
1 - 0
BAR
36%
30%
34%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 3
AMU
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
LOG
0 - 4
BAR
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |