Celta Fortuna vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
25.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
NEG
4 - 0
CEL
18%
24%
59%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
CEL
0 - 0
SSR
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
VEC
3 - 0
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
CEL
0 - 1
ULP
49%
26%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
LAN
1 - 2
CEL
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
ALC
0 - 0
RSI
71%
20%
9%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
CAS
1 - 0
ALC
31%
31%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 2
UDL
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
PPJ
0 - 0
ALC
36%
29%
36%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 4
XER
25%
28%
47%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |