Cella vs Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CEL
5 - 0
CDC
54%
22%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CFL
0 - 1
CEL
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 1
UDS
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 4
RSD
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FUE
0 - 0
CEL
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CFL
0 - 0
QUI
62%
20%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 2
FUE
19%
23%
58%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 0
QUI
69%
19%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CDA
2 - 0
QUI
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 4
CDU
29%
24%
47%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |