Cella vs Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 1
CEL
45%
24%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
2 - 0
SAG
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
QUI
0 - 0
CEL
51%
25%
24%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CEL
2 - 1
GIN
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
CEL
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
DEL
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 2
HER
57%
22%
22%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 1
HER
42%
23%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
SAG
28%
22%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
LAA
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |