Slovenian National League Relegation Play-offs Round 2

Celje vs Smartno 1928 analysis

Celje Smartno 1928
77 ELO 67
26.8% Tilt 9.6%
1044º General ELO ranking 6357º
Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
74.1%
Celje
15.6%
Draw
10.2%
Smartno 1928

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
Celje
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.2%
Win probability
Smartno 1928
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celje
+54%
+39%
Smartno 1928

ELO progression

Celje
Smartno 1928
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celje
Celje
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2004
CEL
Celje
0 - 1
NK Drava Ptuj
NKD
86%
10%
4%
77 62 15 0
04 Apr. 2004
CEL
Celje
2 - 3
Dravograd
DRA
80%
13%
7%
77 62 15 0
28 Mar. 2004
MAR
Maribor
3 - 0
Celje
CEL
43%
25%
32%
77 75 2 0
21 Mar. 2004
CEL
Celje
1 - 1
Domžale
DOM
79%
13%
8%
77 63 14 0
06 Mar. 2004
LJU
NK Ljubljana
2 - 1
Celje
CEL
25%
24%
51%
77 62 15 0

Matches

Smartno 1928
Smartno 1928
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2004
SMA
Smartno 1928
2 - 0
Dravograd
DRA
51%
25%
25%
67 63 4 0
04 Apr. 2004
FCK
FC Koper
1 - 1
Smartno 1928
SMA
54%
25%
21%
67 74 7 0
28 Mar. 2004
SMA
Smartno 1928
1 - 1
NK Drava Ptuj
NKD
61%
22%
17%
67 61 6 0
21 Mar. 2004
NKO
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
3 - 0
Smartno 1928
SMA
68%
19%
13%
68 77 9 -1
06 Mar. 2004
SMA
Smartno 1928
0 - 3
NK Mura
NKM
43%
26%
31%
69 69 0 -1