Celaya vs Tabasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TIG
0 - 4
TOR
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 2
DUR
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
TOR
4 - 1
DOR
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 2
TOR
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 0
LEO
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tabasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
TAB
2 - 3
ZAP
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 5
TAB
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
UDG
1 - 2
TAB
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
TAB
1 - 3
CAÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ALT
1 - 1
TAB
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |