Celaya vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
TOR
0 - 4
REB
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
TOR
0 - 0
ATS
30%
25%
46%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
AUR
1 - 2
TOR
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 0
TIG
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 2
AME
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2002 |
AME
0 - 0
PUM
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 0
MOR
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 0
MON
87%
9%
3%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
MON
1 - 3
PUM
13%
22%
65%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | +1 |