Ceilândia vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 4
CEI
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CEI
0 - 2
BRA
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TAG
0 - 0
CEI
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
CAP
1 - 0
CEI
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CEI
4 - 0
BFC
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 2
GAM
16%
21%
63%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
GAM
2 - 2
LUZ
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 3
GAM
13%
20%
68%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
GAM
2 - 0
CAP
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 1
GAM
26%
26%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |