Ceilândia vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
SOB
2 - 2
CEI
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CEI
5 - 2
BAN
87%
9%
4%
|
49 | 5 | 44 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
CEI
3 - 1
CFZ
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 3
CEI
43%
23%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
DOM
0 - 2
CEI
52%
21%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
DOM
2 - 2
CFZ
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 1
DOM
46%
23%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
BAN
1 - 3
DOM
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 6 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
DOM
2 - 0
SOB
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
DOM
0 - 2
CEI
52%
21%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |