Ceilândia vs Capital Brasilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SOB
2 - 2
CEI
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CEI
0 - 0
BRA
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CEI
1 - 0
GAM
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LUZ
0 - 1
CEI
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CEI
3 - 0
CEI
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
0 - 1
BRA
12%
19%
70%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
0 - 1
UNA
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAP
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 2
FOR
31%
24%
44%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 1
CAP
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |