Ceilândia vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CEI
1 - 1
SOB
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 4
CEI
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CEI
1 - 0
LUZ
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LEG
1 - 2
CEI
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BDF
1 - 3
CAP
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
BDF
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BDF
1 - 1
BSE
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CEI
3 - 0
BDF
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BDF
1 - 4
GAM
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |