Ceilândia vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
LEG
0 - 1
CEI
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
17%
20%
63%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
CEI
3 - 2
GAM
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
DOM
2 - 0
CEI
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CEI
5 - 4
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
GAM
4 - 0
BDF
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
BDF
2 - 3
PAR
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BSE
4 - 2
BDF
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
BDF
0 - 2
LEG
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
DOM
3 - 1
BDF
61%
20%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |