Cefn Druids AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
79.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
CEF
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
CEF
78%
15%
6%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 2
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 4
ABE
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
TNS
4 - 1
ABE
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
TNS
10%
17%
73%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAR
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 1
TNS
20%
21%
59%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TNS
3 - 2
HAV
91%
7%
2%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | -2 |