Cefn Druids AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
POR
1 - 1
CEF
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CEF
2 - 3
TNS
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
CEF
1 - 3
WEL
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 1
CEF
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CEF
2 - 2
HAV
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
VEN
2 - 1
TNS
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2007 |
TNS
3 - 2
VEN
39%
25%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
TNS
4 - 1
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CEF
2 - 3
TNS
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
WEL
1 - 0
TNS
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |