Cefn Druids AFC vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 4
ABE
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 5
CON
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
4 - 1
CEF
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 4
TNS
5%
12%
83%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HAV
0 - 4
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 1
NEW
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 5
BAL
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |