Cefn Druids AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CEF
2 - 1
ABE
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
RHY
0 - 2
CEF
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LLA
4 - 1
CEF
8%
14%
78%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ABE
0 - 1
CEF
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 2
RHY
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 2
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 3
TNS
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
ABE
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 0
NEW
51%
24%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |