Cefn Druids AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
42.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
3 - 1
CEF
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CEF
2 - 1
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 5
ABE
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
CEF
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 1
RHY
44%
23%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 2
CAR
46%
24%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 2
NEW
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 0
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 6 | 51 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 0
AIR
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAN
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |