Cefn Druids AFC vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
CEF
4 - 1
AIR
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
AIR
3 - 2
CEF
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2007 |
WEL
0 - 1
CEF
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
TNS
3 - 0
CEF
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
HAV
3 - 0
CEF
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
LLA
4 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 2
LLA
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
LLA
2 - 1
RHY
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
WEL
3 - 3
LLA
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LLA
4 - 0
CON
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |