Cefn Druids AFC vs Grange Quins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
POR
5 - 0
CEF
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
ABE
2 - 1
CEF
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
CEF
0 - 0
AIR
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
AIR
3 - 2
CEF
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
CEF
0 - 0
CWM
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Grange Quins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
GRA
2 - 5
ABE
30%
25%
46%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 1
AIR
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2006 |
CWM
1 - 1
GRA
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
LLA
1 - 0
GRA
64%
19%
17%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
GRA
1 - 4
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |