Cefn Druids AFC vs Cwmbran Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
CEF
2 - 2
CAE
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CAR
4 - 0
CEF
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
AIR
0 - 1
CEF
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
CEF
3 - 1
AIR
63%
20%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
WEL
4 - 2
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cwmbran Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
HAV
2 - 0
CWM
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CWM
0 - 2
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
RHY
1 - 0
CWM
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
CWM
2 - 2
LLA
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
POR
2 - 2
CWM
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |