Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 1
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CEF
1 - 2
CAR
33%
26%
40%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BAN
6 - 0
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
CEF
0 - 1
HAV
25%
26%
50%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 0
CEF
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
CON
2 - 2
CAE
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
HAV
0 - 0
CON
65%
21%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CON
2 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
CON
1 - 0
LLA
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |