Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
3 - 0
CEF
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CEF
2 - 0
CAE
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
CEF
1 - 0
WEL
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
BAN
2 - 1
CEF
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
CEF
0 - 0
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 1
CON
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CON
1 - 0
ABE
29%
25%
47%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
CON
0 - 1
POR
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
AIR
2 - 2
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
CON
1 - 3
CAE
37%
25%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |