Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAE
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CEF
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
4 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
CEF
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 1
LLA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 1
ABE
14%
19%
66%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 2
ABE
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ABE
3 - 2
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
TNS
6 - 0
ABE
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |