Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 2
TNS
22%
22%
56%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CEF
1 - 0
NEW
57%
21%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NEA
1 - 0
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 1
HAV
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
CEF
3 - 2
CAE
68%
17%
15%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
ABE
0 - 3
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 3
ABE
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ABE
2 - 2
TNS
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
WEL
0 - 1
ABE
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |