Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CEF
0 - 3
RHY
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
CEF
3 - 0
LID
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
LID
1 - 0
CEF
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
CEF
0 - 1
ABE
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
TNS
1 - 0
CEF
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
CWM
2 - 3
ABE
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
ABE
4 - 0
HAV
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
ABE
0 - 0
WEL
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
CEF
0 - 1
ABE
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
ABE
1 - 1
NEW
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |