Ceará vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 2
CEA
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 1
GRE
19%
28%
53%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
GOI
2 - 1
CEA
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CEA
1 - 2
ATM
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
CRZ
1 - 0
CEA
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
SCI
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
PAL
4 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
VAS
59%
24%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CSA
0 - 0
SAN
17%
24%
59%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |