Ceará vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ICA
2 - 2
CEA
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
BOT
76%
16%
9%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CEA
4 - 3
MAR
86%
10%
3%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
CEA
12%
20%
69%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 2
GUA
54%
23%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 4
ICA
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 0
HOR
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 3
QUI
27%
24%
50%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 2
QUI
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |