Cearense 1 Round 1

Ceará vs Quixadá analysis

Ceará Quixadá
63 ELO 45
0.1% Tilt 9.1%
127º General ELO ranking 6580º
Country ELO ranking 279º
ELO win probability
69.9%
Ceará
18%
Draw
12.1%
Quixadá

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
Ceará
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.1%
Win probability
Quixadá
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ceará
+2%
-16%
Quixadá

ELO progression

Ceará
Quixadá
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ceará
Ceará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2008
MAR
Marília
2 - 1
Ceará
CEA
47%
24%
28%
64 63 1 0
21 Nov. 2008
CEA
Ceará
1 - 0
Gama
GAM
59%
23%
19%
63 58 5 +1
14 Nov. 2008
CEA
Ceará
2 - 3
Santo André
SAN
37%
27%
36%
64 72 8 -1
12 Nov. 2008
CRB
CRB
1 - 0
Ceará
CEA
31%
25%
45%
64 56 8 0
07 Nov. 2008
CEA
Ceará
0 - 0
RB Bragantino
BRA
48%
26%
26%
64 65 1 0

Matches

Quixadá
Quixadá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2008
QUI
Quixadá
1 - 3
Boa Viagem EC
BOV
57%
21%
22%
46 41 5 0
27 Mar. 2008
FER
Ferroviário
4 - 0
Quixadá
QUI
63%
19%
19%
47 51 4 -1
23 Mar. 2008
QUI
Quixadá
2 - 3
Ceará
CEA
29%
23%
48%
47 60 13 0
15 Mar. 2008
FOR
Fortaleza EC
5 - 1
Quixadá
QUI
80%
13%
7%
48 70 22 -1
13 Mar. 2008
HOR
Horizonte
4 - 1
Quixadá
QUI
59%
21%
20%
49 56 7 -1