Ceará vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
PIC
0 - 5
CEA
13%
19%
68%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 5
CEA
16%
22%
62%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
CRA
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
LIM
3 - 2
CEA
13%
20%
68%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 4
FOR
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 2
LIM
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
BOV
1 - 2
ITA
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 1
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |