Ceará vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
61%
20%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 2
CEA
27%
23%
50%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CEA
3 - 1
UNI
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2008 |
CEA
2 - 3
QUI
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
74%
16%
11%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ICA
2 - 1
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
ICA
2 - 0
ITA
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ICA
2 - 1
FOR
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2008 |
BOV
1 - 2
ICA
25%
24%
52%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 4
ICA
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |