Ceará vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
GOI
4 - 1
CEA
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
CEA
1 - 0
OLA
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
CEA
1 - 0
COM
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
SER
0 - 0
CEA
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
ATM
0 - 0
CEA
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
FLA
1 - 2
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
GRE
1 - 0
NAU
63%
21%
17%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
DES
0 - 1
GRE
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
RIO
1 - 1
GRE
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
GRE
3 - 0
REM
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |