Ceará vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 1
CEA
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
PAY
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GOI
0 - 0
CEA
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 2
GUA
65%
23%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 0
CEA
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 0
OES
28%
29%
44%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 0
ABC
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ABC
3 - 1
CRI
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
AMF
2 - 0
ABC
67%
22%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 1
LUV
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |