Ceará U23 vs Gremio U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEA
31%
25%
45%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
CEA
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
AVA
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
VIL
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 2
CEA
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gremio U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 1
AVA
62%
20%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 3
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 1
GRE
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 2
CEA
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |