Ce S´arraco vs CSD Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
54.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ce S´arraco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
CES
78%
15%
7%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CES
1 - 4
POL
29%
24%
47%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CDE
3 - 2
CES
73%
16%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CES
2 - 3
MUR
19%
21%
61%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 2
CES
73%
17%
10%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CSD Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CSD
0 - 4
SPO
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CFP
3 - 0
CSD
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CSD
2 - 2
CDE
30%
24%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CDG
5 - 3
CSD
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CSD
1 - 2
UNI
35%
25%
40%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |