CE Europa vs Michelín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
VAL
3 - 0
EUR
84%
12%
5%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
EUR
2 - 1
GIM
56%
25%
19%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
SDM
2 - 0
EUR
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
EUR
3 - 2
TER
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
FCB
2 - 1
EUR
84%
12%
5%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Michelín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
CDT
4 - 0
SDM
69%
21%
11%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
HUE
1 - 0
SDM
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
SDM
2 - 0
EUR
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
SDM
3 - 1
TUD
49%
24%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
OSA
5 - 1
SDM
84%
12%
4%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |