Cruz Azul vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
11%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
PUM
0 - 1
CAZ
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAZ
0 - 1
JAG
54%
24%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 0
CAZ
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAZ
2 - 0
TIG
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
AME
1 - 0
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
UDG
1 - 2
VER
33%
30%
37%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
UDG
77%
16%
8%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
UDG
1 - 1
PAC
20%
26%
54%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
UDG
1 - 1
PUE
24%
28%
48%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PUM
2 - 0
UDG
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |