Cruz Azul vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 1
CAZ
34%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 1
CAZ
15%
22%
63%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAZ
19%
23%
58%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 2
CAZ
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 0
SAN
32%
24%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
EST
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 0
DOR
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 0
TIJ
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |