Cruz Azul vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PAC
0 - 0
CAZ
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
CAZ
1 - 3
TIG
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
CAZ
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
PUM
3 - 2
CAZ
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 0
JAG
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
AME
1 - 1
CHI
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 1
PUE
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 1
TOL
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |