CDR Alferrarede vs CP Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDR Alferrarede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SAB
2 - 3
ALF
24%
22%
54%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 2
ROS
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 2
MIN
14%
19%
68%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ZEZ
2 - 1
ALF
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 2
ABR
13%
18%
69%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
CP Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ASS
3 - 2
PEG
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PEG
4 - 0
SAB
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PEG
2 - 1
ROS
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 1
PEG
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PEG
3 - 1
ZEZ
74%
16%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |