La Calzada vs Yagüe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CLH
3 - 1
CDF
65%
19%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CDF
3 - 3
PRA
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ANG
0 - 2
CDF
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CDF
3 - 3
BER
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RAP
1 - 0
CDF
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
YAG
2 - 0
SMC
14%
20%
67%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
YAG
89%
9%
3%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
YAG
1 - 3
HAR
6%
15%
80%
|
10 | 42 | 32 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AGO
4 - 1
YAG
79%
15%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
YAG
2 - 2
ARN
9%
21%
70%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | +1 |