La Calzada vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SDL
6 - 0
CDF
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CDF
1 - 2
VAR
5%
12%
83%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SMC
1 - 2
CDF
48%
24%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 0
AGO
14%
22%
65%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 0
CDF
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
8 - 0
VIL
94%
5%
1%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
AGO
12%
21%
67%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIA
1 - 0
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 3
RIV
24%
23%
53%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 0
VIL
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |