Tercera División RFEF XVI - La Rioja Round 1

La Calzada vs CD Alfaro analysis

La Calzada CD Alfaro
30 ELO 39
-9.6% Tilt -17.9%
7955º General ELO ranking 4891º
384º Country ELO ranking 164º
ELO win probability
22.1%
La Calzada
21.5%
Draw
56.4%
CD Alfaro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
La Calzada
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
56.4%
Win probability
CD Alfaro
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
La Calzada
-31%
-1%
CD Alfaro

Points and table prediction

La Calzada
Their league position
CD Alfaro
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
13º
76
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
UD Logroñés B
76
76
0%
CD Alfaro
76
76
0%
CD Calahorra B
67
67
100%
Anguiano
65
65
100%
CD Varea
61
61
100%
Oyonesa
55
58
100%
Casalarreina
55
55
100%
CD Berceo
47
47
100%
La Calzada
46
46
100%
Arnedo
10º
42
42
10º
0%
Peña Balsamaiso CF
11º
42
42
11º
0%
River Ebro
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Racing Rioja
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Vianés
14º
33
33
14º
100%
Haro Deportivo
15º
31
31
15º
100%
CD Tedeón
16º
30
30
16º
100%
Comillas CF
17º
24
24
17º
100%
Alberite
18º
17
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
La Calzada
CD Alfaro
Champion
0% 100%
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

La Calzada
CD Alfaro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

La Calzada
La Calzada
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2023
CLH
CD Calahorra
1 - 0
La Calzada
CDF
81%
14%
6%
30 52 22 0
30 Aug. 2023
CDF
La Calzada
4 - 1
Casalarreina
CAS
62%
21%
17%
29 22 7 +1
03 Jun. 2023
CDF
La Calzada
0 - 3
RC Villalbés
RCV
41%
27%
32%
31 35 4 -2
27 May. 2023
RCV
RC Villalbés
1 - 1
La Calzada
CDF
50%
25%
25%
31 35 4 0
21 May. 2023
VAR
CD Varea
0 - 2
La Calzada
CDF
65%
19%
16%
29 35 6 +2

Matches

CD Alfaro
CD Alfaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2023
UDL
UD Logroñés
3 - 0
CD Alfaro
ALF
62%
23%
15%
40 55 15 0
16 Aug. 2023
ALF
CD Alfaro
2 - 4
SD Almazán
SDA
62%
22%
17%
40 32 8 0
12 Aug. 2023
ALF
CD Alfaro
1 - 2
CD Ebro
CDE
41%
27%
32%
40 41 1 0
10 Aug. 2023
PEN
Peña Azagresa
1 - 2
CD Alfaro
ALF
7%
16%
77%
40 17 23 0
04 Aug. 2023
CDC
Corellano
1 - 2
CD Alfaro
ALF
9%
17%
74%
40 18 22 0