La Calzada vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
54.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VIA
0 - 0
CDF
68%
19%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CDF
2 - 1
COM
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
UDL
6 - 0
CDF
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
CDF
28%
24%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CDF
1 - 4
CAS
13%
21%
66%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 3
VAR
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALF
2 - 0
VIA
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BER
3 - 1
ALF
25%
22%
52%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 2
SDL
9%
16%
75%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
COM
2 - 2
ALF
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |