La Calzada vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
71.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDF
47%
24%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDF
1 - 2
VIA
41%
26%
33%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
4 - 1
CDF
53%
23%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 2
OYO
36%
27%
38%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SMC
2 - 1
CDF
51%
24%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 3
ARN
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
5%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIA
1 - 0
ALF
10%
18%
72%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 3
RIV
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
OYO
1 - 2
ALF
17%
22%
62%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |