La Calzada vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
66.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SDL
4 - 1
CDF
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CDF
1 - 0
ARN
55%
24%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 2
CDF
45%
26%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CDF
0 - 2
CLH
19%
24%
57%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HAR
5 - 0
CDF
84%
12%
4%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 0
RIV
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AGO
1 - 1
ALF
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 1
NAX
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 2
ALF
43%
24%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 0
VIL
81%
14%
6%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | +1 |