La Calzada vs Casalarreina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAV
1 - 3
CDF
16%
21%
64%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CDF
1 - 0
CEN
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CDL
1 - 3
CDF
19%
22%
60%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ANG
3 - 2
CDF
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CDF
0 - 0
AUT
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 3
ANG
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
AUT
2 - 0
CAS
29%
25%
47%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 4
NAX
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
YAG
7 - 2
CAS
56%
22%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 1
OYO
75%
15%
11%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |